Stay the Course with Equities. Volatility isn’t the Time to Sell.
January 2014 played an important role in contributing to heightened activity owing to announcement of operational performance by several companies subsequent to the closure of 2013 December quarter.
The first month after the end of any calendar quarter is closely watched by all participants to determine whether their portfolio stocks are continuing to grow or have gone off track. Vivekam’s stated philosophy has always been to stand behind companies reporting improved performance while discarding the stocks that reported poor performance or stop growing any more. Vivekam gives out its top 10 recommendations on all days irrespective of developments in the market.
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——— All Stocks ——— |
———- Large Caps ———- |
———— Mid Caps ——— |
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Total |
Success |
% |
Total |
Success |
% |
Total |
Success |
% |
|
|
|
|||||||
|
220 |
175 |
79.55 |
220 |
161 |
73.18 |
220 |
174 |
79.09 |
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There were 22 trading days in January and at a rate of 10 stocks per day, Vivekam has come out with 220 recommendations in this month. As has been the practice of Vivekam, at the end of each calendar month, we undertake an exercise to check the efficacy of these recommendations over nifty. The methodology adopted is to check the maximum growth recorded by the stocks from the date of recommendation till the end of month and compare it with that of nifty on the same parameters. Even though the recommendations of first few days in January were based on results declared for 2013 September quarter, Vivekam’s recommendations proved their superiority by being successful in 175 cases out of 220 recording a success percentage of 79.55%.
|
Recommendation |
Times appeared |
Times Successful |
|
Rel. Comm. |
16 |
16 |
|
NCL Res. & Finl. |
14 |
8 |
|
Vardhman Textile |
14 |
9 |
|
Natl. Aluminium |
14 |
14 |
|
Cox & Kings |
13 |
13 |
|
Sun TV Network |
12 |
6 |
|
S A I L |
12 |
7 |
|
Ushdev Intl. |
12 |
12 |
|
Tata Motors |
11 |
11 |
|
LIC Housing Fin. |
11 |
4 |
|
KRBL |
10 |
6 |
There were a total of 30 distinct stocks recommended by Vivekam in the month of January, some of which may have been often repeated in successive days. For instance, Vardhman Textiles, NCL Res and NALCO have made it to the list in 14 days. Growth witnessed by NALCO from the respective day of recommendation till the end of month has always been higher than that of Nifty for the same period. However, the other two companies, NCL Res and Vardhman Textiles, could manage to beat Nifty in 8 and 9 days only.
Cox & Kings appeared in the list 13 times and it’s Peak growth from all days of recommendation was more than Nifty for the similar period. Ushdev Intl, SAIL and Sun TV Network appeared on 12 days. Ushdev Intl managed to clock higher growth than Nifty on all days while Sail and Sun TV could do so only on 7 days and 6 days respectively. Tata Motors was seen on 11 days beating the maximum growth of Nifty from those days on all 11 days.
A success rate of 79.55% or 80% implies that 8/10 stocks recommended by Vivekam have beaten nifty in their growth in the month under consideration. Such a high rate of success is possible only because Vivekam follows rigid processes that are backed by solid research and constructed by scientific models. A retail investor will find it more fruitful to follow the recommendations of Vivekam, which are proven for an innumerable number of months, instead of hoping for inside information to benefit from his investments.
To help retail investors narrow down their selection, Vivekam provides the best undervalued growth stocks based on their market capitalisation too. Members can use SPOTS service to identify the stocks based on “All”, “Large Cap”, “Mid Cap” or “Small Cap”. However Vivekam advises clients to stay away from Small caps considering the fact that they could be prone to misreporting or manipulation easily.
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